Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 28Full time
Stoke
1-2
Middlesbrough
Model's readbet365 Stadium
1 31%X 27%2 42%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.4%
xG
1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →StokeWWWDWMiddlesbroughWDDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMiddlesbrough favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.23 goals for Stoke and 1.48 for Middlesbrough, giving 31% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.23 - 1.48
- Clean sheet chance: Stoke 23%, Middlesbrough 29%
Match result
1X2Stoke30.6%
Draw27.5%
Middlesbrough41.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Stoke
Average
6.9
Middlesbrough
Above average
StokeLast 10 gamesMiddlesbrough1.70Points per game1.80
1.6Goals scored per game1.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
80%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score10%
Recent results
StokeWWWDW
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Stoke
3
Draws
4
Middlesbrough
- 21 Jan 26Stoke 1-2 Middlesbrough
- 30 Sept 25Middlesbrough 0-0 Stoke
- 25 Feb 25Stoke 1-3 Middlesbrough
- 28 Sept 24Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
- 27 Aug 24Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke