Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

75.0%

xG

1.7 – 1.5

Over 2.5

61%

Both score

64%

Form

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StuttgartWLLWW

Borussia DortmundDWWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Stuttgart favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.65 goals for Stuttgart and 1.52 for Borussia Dortmund, giving 40% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.65 - 1.52
Clean sheet chance: Stuttgart 22%, Borussia Dortmund 19%

Match result

1X2

Stuttgart40.3%

Draw25.0%

Borussia Dortmund34.7%

Model rating

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6.5

Stuttgart

Above average

8.2

Borussia Dortmund

Strong

StuttgartLast 10 games

Borussia Dortmund

1.50Points per game2.50

2.0Goals scored per game2.3

1.7Goals conceded per game0.9

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

80%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets50%

10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

StuttgartWLLWW

Borussia DortmundDWWWW

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	5	+12	11
3	FreiburgHT 1-1	5	+9	11
4	Bayer Leverkusen	5	+6	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	+10	9
6	Augsburg	5	+5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
8	Mainz	5	+3	7
9	Elversberg	5	0	7
10	Stuttgart	5	-1	6
11▲	Schalke 04HT 1-1	5	-1	6
12▼	Hamburg	5	-10	6
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	-7	5
14	Köln	4	-3	4
15	Paderborn	5	-4	4
16	Union Berlin	5	-12	4
17	Hoffenheim	5	-4	3
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0