Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

66.0%

xG

1.3 – 1.4

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

55%

Form

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Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Atlético MadridWWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Madrid favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.28 goals for Deportivo Alavés and 1.40 for Atlético Madrid, giving 34% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.28 - 1.40
Clean sheet chance: Deportivo Alavés 25%, Atlético Madrid 28%

Match result

1X2

Deportivo Alavés34.0%

Draw26.4%

Atlético Madrid39.6%

Model rating

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5.3

Deportivo Alavés

Average

—

Atlético Madrid

Not rated yet

Deportivo AlavésLast 10 games

Atlético Madrid

1.40Points per game1.90

1.4Goals scored per game2.0

1.0Goals conceded per game1.5

50%Over 2.5 goals90%

50%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Atlético MadridWWWWL

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4