Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
43%
The model projects 1.73 goals for AC Milan and 0.73 for Lecce, giving 61% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1561 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
AC Milan
Strong
Lecce
Average
8
AC Milan
2
Draws
0
Lecce