Pachuca vs Necaxa prediction, Mexican Liga MX
Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
78.5%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →PachucaLDWWD
NecaxaLLLDL
Match analysis
EnhancedPachuca favoured at 61%; goals markets look close
The model makes Pachuca the favourite at 61%, with a draw at 23% and Necaxa at 17%. It expects 1.94 goals for Pachuca and 0.92 for Necaxa. Over 2.5 goals sits at 54%, close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little clear edge.
Match result
1X2Pachuca60.5%
Draw23.0%
Necaxa16.5%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Pachuca
Above average
4.6
Necaxa
Average
PachucaLast 10 gamesNecaxa
1.20Points per game0.80
1.5Goals scored per game1.2
1.1Goals conceded per game2.0
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored90%
30%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Mexican Liga MX
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | CD GuadalajaraHT 0-0 | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | León | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5▲ | AtlasHT 0-0 | 11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6▼ | Querétaro | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Atlético de San Luis | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Pachuca
2
Draws
1
Necaxa
- 4 Mar 26Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa
- 4 Oct 25Necaxa 0-1 Pachuca
- 12 Apr 25Necaxa 3-5 Pachuca
- 3 Nov 24Pachuca 6-2 Necaxa
- 6 May 24Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa