Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
59%
The strongest read is Home or Draw at 76%, above the 69% norm for this competition. St Pauli have a 54% chance of winning, with Karlsruhe at 24%, based on expected goals of 1.91 to 1.19. Karlsruhe's recent form is colder than their season, and the model's recency weighting already reflects that.
St Pauli
Above average
Karlsruhe
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +10 | 18 | |
| 2 | 6 | +10 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | +2 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | +7 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | +2 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | +2 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | -3 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | 6 | -2 | 5 | |
| 14 | 6 | -6 | 5 | |
| 15 | 6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | -3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | -8 | 4 |
3
St Pauli
5
Draws
2
Karlsruhe