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Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction, English Premier League

English Premier League · Round 16Full time

Bournemouth

0-4

Sat, 8 Dec

Liverpool

Model's read
1 38%X 27%2 35%

Our pick ★ Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

79.8%

xG

1.5 – 1.4

Over 2.5

56%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →
BournemouthLLWDW
LiverpoolWWDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Bournemouth favoured at 38%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.49 goals for Bournemouth and 1.42 for Liverpool, giving 38% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.49 - 1.42
  • Clean sheet chance: Bournemouth 24%, Liverpool 23%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Bournemouth v Liverpool

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Bournemouth38.2%
Draw27.0%
Liverpool34.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.0

Bournemouth

Above average

6.8

Liverpool

Above average

BournemouthLast 10 gamesLiverpool
1.10Points per game1.70
1.5Goals scored per game1.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

BournemouthLLWDW
  • 10 OctAChelsea1-5
  • 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
  • 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
  • 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
  • 8 SeptHLincoln City4-0
  • 5 SeptANewcastle United2-2
LiverpoolWWDWW
  • 20 SeptABournemouth1-0
  • 15 SeptHTottenham Hotspur3-1
  • 12 SeptHFulham0-0
  • 9 SeptHAtlético Madrid2-1
  • 4 SeptAIpswich Town2-0
  • 29 AugHNottingham Forest2-2

English Premier League

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal5+412
3Brighton and Hove Albion5+1110
4Brentford5+69
5Leeds United5+49
6Liverpool5+39
7Everton5+39
8Hull City5+28
9Newcastle United508
10Chelsea5-27
11Ipswich Town5-46
12Manchester United505
13Nottingham Forest5-15
14Sunderland5-44
15Crystal Palace5-54
16Aston Villa5-54
17Bournemouth5-23
18Coventry City5-93
19Fulham5-32
20Tottenham Hotspur5-62
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Bournemouth

0

Draws

8

Liverpool

  • 20 Sept 26Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool
  • 24 Jan 26Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool
  • 15 Aug 25Liverpool 4-2 Bournemouth
  • 1 Feb 25Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool
  • 21 Sept 24Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth
Every meeting between these two →