Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille prediction, French Ligue 1
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.1%
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL
LilleWLWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedParis Saint-Germain favoured at 55%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.79 goals for Paris Saint-Germain and 1.02 for Lille, giving 55% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.79 - 1.02
- Clean sheet chance: Paris Saint-Germain 36%, Lille 17%
Match result
1X2Paris Saint-Germain54.6%
Draw24.5%
Lille20.9%
Model rating
All ratings →8.1
Paris Saint-Germain
Strong
6.9
Lille
Above average
Paris Saint-GermainLast 10 gamesLille1.80Points per game1.70
2.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.2Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals30%
80%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score10%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Paris Saint-Germain
3
Draws
0
Lille
- 28 Aug 26Lille 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- 16 Jan 26Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Lille
- 5 Oct 25Lille 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain
- 1 Mar 25Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Lille
- 1 Sept 24Lille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain