Lille vs Nice prediction, French Ligue 1
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
73.1%
xG
1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →
LilleWLWLW
NiceWLDLDMatch analysis
EnhancedLille favoured at 58%; Under 3.5 is the strongest read
The model makes Lille the favourite at 58%, with a draw at 24% and Nice at 17%. The strongest read is Under 3.5 Goals at 73%, against a 68% norm in this competition, so the gap is what stands out. Treat this as a model view, not a guaranteed result.
Match result
1X2Lille58.4%
Draw24.4%
Nice17.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.9
Lille
Above average
4.7
Nice
Average
LilleLast 10 gamesNice1.70Points per game1.10
1.3Goals scored per game0.9
1.0Goals conceded per game1.0
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored50%
50%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Lille
4
Draws
4
Nice
- 20 Sept 26Nice 2-1 Lille
- 18 Apr 26Lille 0-0 Nice
- 29 Oct 25Nice 2-0 Lille
- 17 Jan 25Lille 2-1 Nice
- 10 Nov 24Nice 2-2 Lille