Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.5%

xG

1.9 – 1.2

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →

FreiburgDWWWW

Werder BremenDWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Freiburg favoured at 54%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.91 goals for Freiburg and 1.17 for Werder Bremen, giving 54% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.91 - 1.17
Clean sheet chance: Freiburg 31%, Werder Bremen 15%

Match result

1X2

Freiburg53.8%

Draw23.7%

Werder Bremen22.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.2

Freiburg

Above average

4.8

Werder Bremen

Average

FreiburgLast 10 games

Werder Bremen

2.20Points per game1.20

2.8Goals scored per game1.5

1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets0%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

FreiburgDWWWW

Werder BremenDWDWL

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	4	+12	10
3	Freiburg	4	+9	10
4	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
5	Augsburg	4	+5	7
6	Bayer Leverkusen	4	+5	7
7	Mainz	4	+4	7
8	Elversberg	4	+1	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	-2	4
13	Köln	4	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	-3	3
16	Hamburg	4	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0