Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
2.0 – 1.3
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
63%
The strongest read is Home or Draw (1X) at 76%, well above the 68% norm for this competition, and that gap is what makes it stand out. RB Leipzig are the model's favourites at 53% to win, with 1.97 expected goals against 1.27 for Freiburg. Freiburg's recent run is the main thing to watch, but the model already accounts for part of it.
RB Leipzig
Above average
Freiburg
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | 5 | +10 | 13 | |
| 2▼ | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3▼ | 5 | +12 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | +10 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | -1 | 6 | |
| 11 | 5 | -10 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -2 | 5 | |
| 13 | 5 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -12 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 3 | |
| 18 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
6
RB Leipzig
3
Draws
1
Freiburg