Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
49%
The model's best pick is Home or Draw at 78%, well above the 67% norm for this competition. Napoli are the favourites to win at 55%, and they have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6. Fiorentina have won 16 away games and lost 21, so the model sees the home side as the stronger one.
Napoli
Strong
Fiorentina
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | +6 | 11 | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 19 | 5 | -7 | 1 | |
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
5
Napoli
3
Draws
2
Fiorentina