Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
34%
Both score
40%
The model projects 1.28 goals for Egypt and 0.77 for Zimbabwe, giving 48% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Egypt
Above average
Zimbabwe
Above average
7
Egypt
2
Draws
1
Zimbabwe