Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.7%

xG

1.3 – 1.5

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

56%

Form

Full stats →

LilleWLWLW

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Paris Saint-Germain favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.25 goals for Lille and 1.48 for Paris Saint-Germain, giving 31% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.25 - 1.48
Clean sheet chance: Lille 23%, Paris Saint-Germain 29%

Match result

1X2

Lille31.3%

Draw26.9%

Paris Saint-Germain41.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.9

Lille

Above average

8.1

Paris Saint-Germain

Strong

LilleLast 10 games

Paris Saint-Germain

1.70Points per game1.80

1.3Goals scored per game2.1

1.0Goals conceded per game1.2

30%Over 2.5 goals70%

40%Both teams scored80%

50%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

LilleWLWLW

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	+5	13
2	Lyon	6	+7	11
3	Paris FC	5	+5	11
4	Lille	5	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	-1	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain	5	+1	8
7	Lens	6	+1	7
8	Angers	5	+1	7
9	Strasbourg	5	0	7
10	Le Mans	5	0	6
11	Auxerre	5	-5	6
12	Brest	5	-1	5
13	Lorient	5	-1	5
14	Toulouse	5	-2	5
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	Troyes	5	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	-3	2