Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home Win

64.9%

xG

2.2 – 0.9

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

Borussia DortmundDWWWW

Werder BremenDWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Borussia Dortmund favoured at 65%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.15 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.92 for Werder Bremen, giving 65% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 2.15 - 0.92
Clean sheet chance: Borussia Dortmund 40%, Werder Bremen 12%

Match result

1X2

Borussia Dortmund64.9%

Draw20.8%

Werder Bremen14.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.2

Borussia Dortmund

Strong

4.8

Werder Bremen

Average

Borussia DortmundLast 10 games

Werder Bremen

2.50Points per game1.20

2.3Goals scored per game1.5

0.9Goals conceded per game1.8

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

40%Both teams scored80%

50%Clean sheets0%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Borussia DortmundDWWWW

Werder BremenDWDWL

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	4	+12	10
3	Freiburg	4	+9	10
4	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
5	Augsburg	4	+5	7
6	Bayer Leverkusen	4	+5	7
7	Mainz	4	+4	7
8	Elversberg	4	+1	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	-2	4
13	Köln	4	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	-3	3
16	Hamburg	4	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0