Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
78.4%
xG
1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
NapoliWDWLL
FiorentinaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedNapoli favoured at 55%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.65 goals for Napoli and 0.93 for Fiorentina, giving 55% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.65 - 0.93
- Clean sheet chance: Napoli 39%, Fiorentina 19%
Match result
1X2Napoli54.6%
Draw23.8%
Fiorentina21.6%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
Napoli
Strong
5.1
Fiorentina
Average
NapoliLast 10 gamesFiorentina1.60Points per game1.40
1.6Goals scored per game1.7
1.0Goals conceded per game1.6
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Napoli
3
Draws
2
Fiorentina
- 20 Sept 26Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
- 31 Jan 26Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina
- 13 Sept 25Fiorentina 1-3 Napoli
- 9 Mar 25Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina
- 4 Jan 25Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli