Mainz vs Paderborn prediction, German Bundesliga
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
70.8%
xG
1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
MainzLWLWD
PaderbornLWLLDMatch analysis
Model generatedMainz favoured at 57%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.80 goals for Mainz and 0.93 for Paderborn, giving 57% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.80 - 0.93
- Clean sheet chance: Mainz 40%, Paderborn 17%
Match result
1X2Mainz57.2%
Draw24.5%
Paderborn18.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Mainz
Above average
4.0
Paderborn
Average
MainzLast 10 gamesPaderborn1.40Points per game0.80
2.2Goals scored per game0.8
1.9Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
70%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score60%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 4 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Augsburg | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mainz | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Elversberg | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hamburg | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 5 meetings3
Mainz
2
Draws
0
Paderborn
- 29 Aug 26Mainz 0-0 Paderborn
- 29 Feb 20Mainz 2-0 Paderborn
- 5 Oct 19Paderborn 1-2 Mainz
- 31 Jan 15Mainz 5-0 Paderborn
- 24 Aug 14Paderborn 2-2 Mainz