Paderborn vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

79.4%

xG

0.9 – 1.6

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

PaderbornLWLLD

Borussia DortmundDWWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Borussia Dortmund favoured at 53%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.93 goals for Paderborn and 1.63 for Borussia Dortmund, giving 21% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 53% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 0.93 - 1.63
Clean sheet chance: Paderborn 20%, Borussia Dortmund 39%

Match result

1X2

Paderborn20.6%

Draw26.3%

Borussia Dortmund53.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.0

Paderborn

Average

8.2

Borussia Dortmund

Strong

PaderbornLast 10 games

Borussia Dortmund

0.80Points per game2.50

0.8Goals scored per game2.3

1.5Goals conceded per game0.9

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

40%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets50%

60%Failed to score10%

Recent results

PaderbornLWLLD

Borussia DortmundDWWWW

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	4	+12	10
3	Freiburg	4	+9	10
4	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
5	Augsburg	4	+5	7
6	Bayer Leverkusen	4	+5	7
7	Mainz	4	+4	7
8	Elversberg	4	+1	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	-2	4
13	Köln	4	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	-3	3
16	Hamburg	4	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0