Honduras vs Costa Rica prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
77.6%
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
HondurasLDDLW
Costa RicaLLLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedHonduras favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.30 goals for Honduras and 1.12 for Costa Rica, giving 40% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.30 - 1.12
- Clean sheet chance: Honduras 33%, Costa Rica 27%
Match result
1X2Honduras39.6%
Draw29.5%
Costa Rica30.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Honduras
Average
4.6
Costa Rica
Average
HondurasLast 10 gamesCosta Rica1.10Points per game0.80
0.8Goals scored per game1.2
0.8Goals conceded per game2.0
20%Over 2.5 goals70%
20%Both teams scored50%
50%Clean sheets20%
60%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Honduras
5
Draws
3
Costa Rica
- 18 Nov 25Costa Rica 0-0 Honduras
- 9 Oct 25Honduras 0-0 Costa Rica
- 16 Nov 21Costa Rica 2-1 Honduras
- 7 Oct 21Honduras 0-0 Costa Rica
- 7 Oct 17Costa Rica 1-1 Honduras