Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
54%
The model gives Brazil a 63% home win, well above the 48% norm for this competition, which makes it the strongest read. It projects 2.09 goals for Brazil and 0.94 for Scotland, with over 2.5 goals at 58%. This is a historical match from 2011, so these are model estimates, not a guaranteed result.
Brazil
Above average
Scotland
Average
5
Brazil
1
Draws
0
Scotland