Ethiopia vs Burkina Faso prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.7%
xG
1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
EthiopiaDWLWL
Burkina FasoLDLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedEthiopia favoured at 39%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.48 goals for Ethiopia and 1.39 for Burkina Faso, giving 39% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.48 - 1.39
- Clean sheet chance: Ethiopia 25%, Burkina Faso 23%
Match result
1X2Ethiopia38.9%
Draw26.3%
Burkina Faso34.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
5.4
Burkina Faso
Average
EthiopiaLast 10 gamesBurkina Faso1.60Points per game1.40
1.4Goals scored per game1.5
1.3Goals conceded per game1.8
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings1
Ethiopia
1
Draws
4
Burkina Faso
- 12 Oct 25Burkina Faso 3-1 Ethiopia
- 21 Nov 23Ethiopia 0-3 Burkina Faso
- 17 Jan 22Burkina Faso 1-1 Ethiopia
- 25 Jan 13Burkina Faso 4-0 Ethiopia
- 23 Apr 00Burkina Faso 3-0 Ethiopia