Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
43%
The model makes Egypt's home win the strongest read at 63%, well above the 49% norm for this competition. Egypt rate 14th of 207 sides, Ethiopia 99th, and Ethiopia have won 4 of 42 away games in the sample. Goals markets are close to even.
Egypt
Above average
Ethiopia
Above average
8
Egypt
1
Draws
1
Ethiopia