Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
0.9 – 1.6
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
47%
The model projects 0.88 goals for Tanzania and 1.58 for Morocco, giving 20% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 53% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Tanzania
Average
Morocco
Above average
1
Tanzania
0
Draws
7
Morocco