Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
52%
The model's strongest pick is Morocco or a draw (X2) at 70%, well above the 52% norm. Morocco are rated 4th to Brazil's 9th, and the match is at a neutral venue, so no home edge applies. Goals markets sit close to 50-50, so there is little edge there.
Brazil
Above average
Morocco
Above average
2
Brazil
1
Draws
1
Morocco