Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
44%
The model makes Slovenia the pick, with a 60% chance of a home win against 15% for North Macedonia. It projects 1.71 expected goals for Slovenia and 0.74 for North Macedonia, which puts under 2.5 goals at 56%. Treat these as probabilities, not guarantees.
Slovenia
Above average
North Macedonia
Average
2
Slovenia
2
Draws
4
North Macedonia