Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model gives Croatia a 43% chance to win at home, with Slovenia at 29% and a draw at 27%. Expected goals are 1.53 for Croatia and 1.22 for Slovenia, so the match is close and the goals markets are near even. Croatia's recent form has been poor, which the model already weights in.
Croatia
Average
Slovenia
Above average
5
Croatia
4
Draws
1
Slovenia