Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
54%
The model puts Portugal or a draw at 80%, above the 72% norm for this competition, so that gap is the main read. Portugal are rated 8th of 219 sides, with Croatia 59th. Croatia's recent form is colder than their season, but the model already weights recent results.
Portugal
Above average
Croatia
Average
7
Portugal
2
Draws
1
Croatia