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Denmark vs Portugal prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 3Full time

Denmark

2-4

Thu, 1 Oct

Portugal

Model's readParken
1 33%X 26%2 40%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

66.6%

xG

1.4 – 1.6

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →
DenmarkWLWLW
PortugalWWWWL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Away or Draw (X2) is the model's strongest read

The model's strongest pick is Away or Draw at 67%, well above the 54% norm for this competition. Portugal are the favourites at 40% to win outright, so covering both the away win and the draw gives a wider net. Expected goals are 1.41 for Denmark and 1.56 for Portugal.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Denmark v Portugal

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Denmark33.4%
Draw26.4%
Portugal40.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Denmark

Above average

6.8

Portugal

Above average

DenmarkLast 10 gamesPortugal
1.50Points per game2.30
1.9Goals scored per game1.9
1.6Goals conceded per game0.8
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

DenmarkWLWLW
  • 4 OctAWales1-0
  • 1 OctHPortugal2-4
  • 27 SeptHWales2-0
  • 24 SeptANorway2-3
  • 7 JunHUkraine2-1
  • 3 JunADR Congo0-0
PortugalWWWWL
  • 4 OctHNorway2-1
  • 1 OctADenmark4-2
  • 27 SeptANorway2-1
  • 24 SeptHWales1-0
  • 6 JulHSpain0-1
  • 2 JulHCroatia2-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

Denmark

1

Draws

6

Portugal

  • 1 Oct 26Denmark 2-4 Portugal
  • 23 Mar 25Portugal 5-2 Denmark
  • 20 Mar 25Denmark 1-0 Portugal
  • 8 Oct 15Portugal 1-0 Denmark
  • 14 Oct 14Denmark 0-1 Portugal
Every meeting between these two →