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Spain vs Croatia prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 2Full time

Spain

4-1

Tue, 29 Sept

Croatia

Model's readEstadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
1 75%X 16%2 9%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home Win

74.5%

xG

2.6 – 0.8

Over 2.5

66%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
SpainWWWWW
CroatiaLLLWL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Spain to win at home: model gives 75%

The model puts Spain's home win at 75%, well above the 46% norm for this competition, which makes it the strongest read. Expected goals are 2.59 for Spain and 0.83 for Croatia. Spain's attack ranks 5th best against Croatia's 90th weakest defence.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Spain v Croatia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Spain74.5%
Draw16.4%
Croatia9.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.8

Spain

Above average

5.0

Croatia

Average

SpainLast 10 gamesCroatia
3.00Points per game1.20
2.2Goals scored per game1.2
0.6Goals conceded per game2.4
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored70%
50%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

SpainWWWWW
  • 6 OctACroatia2-1
  • 3 OctHCzech Republic3-1
  • 29 SeptHCroatia4-1
  • 26 SeptAEngland3-2
  • 19 JulHArgentina1-0
  • 14 JulAFrance2-0
CroatiaLLLWL
  • 6 OctHSpain1-2
  • 3 OctHEngland0-7
  • 29 SeptASpain1-4
  • 26 SeptACzech Republic2-1
  • 2 JulAPortugal1-2
  • 27 JunHGhana2-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

6

Spain

2

Draws

2

Croatia

  • 6 Oct 26Croatia 1-2 Spain
  • 29 Sept 26Spain 4-1 Croatia
  • 15 Jun 24Spain 3-0 Croatia
  • 18 Jun 23Croatia 0-0 Spain
  • 28 Jun 21Croatia 3-3 Spain
Every meeting between these two →