
Spain
3-1

Czech Republic
Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 0.7
Over 2.5
64%
Both score
48%
The model makes Spain the call at 77%, against a 46% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.58 for Spain and 0.72 for Czech Republic, and Czech Republic have failed to score in 4 of their last 6. Nothing is guaranteed; a draw still carries 16%.
Spain
Above average
Czech Republic
Average
6
Spain
2
Draws
0
Czech Republic