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England vs Spain prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 1Full time

England

2-3

Sat, 26 Sept

Spain

Model's readWembley Stadium
1 41%X 26%2 33%

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

73.6%

xG

1.6 – 1.4

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →
EnglandWWWLW
SpainWWWWW

Match analysis

Enhanced

England edge Spain at 41%, goals more likely than not

The model makes England slight favourites at 41%, with Spain on 33% and the draw on 26%. Expected goals are 1.58 for England and 1.39 for Spain, so over 2.5 goals sits at 57%. Treat it as a lean, not a sure thing.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

England v Spain

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
England40.9%
Draw26.4%
Spain32.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.9

England

Above average

6.8

Spain

Above average

EnglandLast 10 gamesSpain
2.40Points per game3.00
3.0Goals scored per game2.2
1.3Goals conceded per game0.6
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score0%

Recent results

EnglandWWWLW
  • 6 OctHCzech Republic3-0
  • 3 OctACroatia7-0
  • 29 SeptACzech Republic2-0
  • 26 SeptHSpain2-3
  • 18 JulAFrance6-4
  • 15 JulHArgentina1-2
SpainWWWWW
  • 6 OctACroatia2-1
  • 3 OctHCzech Republic3-1
  • 29 SeptHCroatia4-1
  • 26 SeptAEngland3-2
  • 19 JulHArgentina1-0
  • 14 JulAFrance2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

England

1

Draws

7

Spain

  • 26 Sept 26England 2-3 Spain
  • 14 Jul 24Spain 2-1 England
  • 15 Oct 18Spain 2-3 England
  • 8 Sept 18England 1-2 Spain
  • 15 Nov 16England 2-2 Spain
Every meeting between these two →