Croatia vs Spain prediction, UEFA Nations League
Our pick
Away Win
59.1%
xG
1.1 – 2.1
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
CroatiaLLLWL
SpainWWWWWMatch analysis
EnhancedSpain favoured away at Croatia, 59% on the model
The model gives Spain a 59% chance to win in Zagreb, against 18% for Croatia, and 23% for a draw. That is far above the 31% norm for away wins in this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Spain's attack rates 5th best in the sample, and it meets a Croatia defence rated 90th weakest.
Match result
1X2Croatia18.3%
Draw22.5%
Spain59.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Croatia
Average
6.8
Spain
Above average
CroatiaLast 10 gamesSpain1.20Points per game3.00
1.2Goals scored per game2.2
2.4Goals conceded per game0.6
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Croatia
2
Draws
6
Spain
- 6 Oct 26Croatia 1-2 Spain
- 29 Sept 26Spain 4-1 Croatia
- 15 Jun 24Spain 3-0 Croatia
- 18 Jun 23Croatia 0-0 Spain
- 28 Jun 21Croatia 3-3 Spain