
France
4-6

England
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
The model's strongest pick is over 1.5 goals at 79%, against a 72% norm for this competition. That gap is what makes it the standout, not the raw percentage. England are slight favourites at 38% to win, so the match result itself is closer.
France
Above average
England
Above average
6
France
2
Draws
2
England