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France vs Italy prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 3Full time

France

1-1

Fri, 2 Oct

Italy

Model's readStade de France
1 56%X 24%2 21%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.3%

xG

1.9 – 1.1

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →
FranceWDWWL
ItalyWDWLW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Home or Draw (1X) is the model's strongest read

The model's strongest selection is Home or Draw (1X) at 79%, against a 69% norm for this competition. France are favoured at 56% to win, with 1.94 expected goals to Italy's 1.12. Over 2.5 goals is 59%, but the 1X gap is the stronger signal.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

France v Italy

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
France55.5%
Draw23.8%
Italy20.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.5

France

Above average

6.1

Italy

Above average

FranceLast 10 gamesItaly
2.20Points per game2.00
2.1Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored50%
50%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

FranceWDWWL
  • 5 OctHBelgium4-1
  • 2 OctHItaly1-1
  • 28 SeptABelgium1-0
  • 25 SeptATurkey1-0
  • 18 JulHEngland4-6
  • 14 JulHSpain0-2
ItalyWDWLW
  • 5 OctHTurkey3-1
  • 2 OctAFrance1-1
  • 28 SeptATurkey4-1
  • 25 SeptHBelgium0-2
  • 7 JunAGreece1-0
  • 3 JunALuxembourg1-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5

France

3

Draws

2

Italy

  • 2 Oct 26France 1-1 Italy
  • 17 Nov 24Italy 1-3 France
  • 6 Sept 24France 1-3 Italy
  • 1 Jun 18France 3-1 Italy
  • 1 Sept 16Italy 1-3 France
Every meeting between these two →