Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
53%
The model's strongest read is Away or Draw at 64%, against a 52% norm here. That gap is what makes it stand out. Greece (36%) and Italy (35%) are close to even on the win, so the draw-or-Italy side carries the edge. It is a probability, not a guarantee.
Greece
Above average
Italy
Above average
0
Greece
2
Draws
3
Italy