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Turkey vs Italy prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 2Full time

Turkey

1-4

Mon, 28 Sept

Italy

Model's read
1 31%X 26%2 42%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.6%

xG

1.4 – 1.6

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →
TurkeyLLLLW
ItalyWDWLW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Italy edge it, and Away or Draw is the strongest read

The model's strongest read is Away or Draw at 69%, well above the 54% norm for this competition. Italy win is the single likeliest result at 42%, and Turkey's home record shows 1.2 goals conceded a game.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Turkey v Italy

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Turkey31.4%
Draw26.4%
Italy42.3%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Turkey

Average

6.1

Italy

Above average

TurkeyLast 10 gamesItaly
1.20Points per game2.00
1.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

TurkeyLLLLW
  • 5 OctAItaly1-3
  • 2 OctABelgium0-3
  • 28 SeptHItaly1-4
  • 25 SeptHFrance0-1
  • 26 JunHUSA3-2
  • 25 JunAUSA3-2
ItalyWDWLW
  • 5 OctHTurkey3-1
  • 2 OctAFrance1-1
  • 28 SeptATurkey4-1
  • 25 SeptHBelgium0-2
  • 7 JunAGreece1-0
  • 3 JunALuxembourg1-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Turkey

3

Draws

7

Italy

  • 5 Oct 26Italy 3-1 Turkey
  • 28 Sept 26Turkey 1-4 Italy
  • 4 Jun 24Italy 0-0 Turkey
  • 29 Mar 22Turkey 2-3 Italy
  • 11 Jun 21Turkey 0-3 Italy
Every meeting between these two →