
Belgium
3-0

Turkey
Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
58%
The model favours Belgium at home, with a 68% chance of winning against a 46% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.39 for Belgium and 0.98 for Turkey. Even a model-led pick can lose, so treat 68% as a lean, not a sure thing.
Belgium
Above average
Turkey
Average
4
Belgium
3
Draws
3
Turkey