Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
The model makes Spain the favourites at 42%, against 30% for Belgium and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.43 for Spain and 1.19 for Belgium. It is a neutral venue, so no home advantage is applied, and the goals markets sit close to even.
Spain
Above average
Belgium
Above average
8
Spain
2
Draws
0
Belgium