Italy vs Turkey prediction, UEFA Nations League
Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
77.1%
xG
2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
ItalyWDWLW
TurkeyLLLLWMatch analysis
EnhancedItaly favoured at 59%, with goals likely
The model makes Italy favourites at 59%, with a draw at 23% and Turkey at 18%. Expected goals of 2.02 for Italy and 1.05 for Turkey drive that view. Over 2.5 goals is at 59%, so the model leans toward an open game.
Match result
1X2Italy59.0%
Draw22.9%
Turkey18.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Italy
Above average
5.0
Turkey
Average
ItalyLast 10 gamesTurkey2.00Points per game1.20
1.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
30%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Italy
3
Draws
0
Turkey
- 5 Oct 26Italy 3-1 Turkey
- 28 Sept 26Turkey 1-4 Italy
- 4 Jun 24Italy 0-0 Turkey
- 29 Mar 22Turkey 2-3 Italy
- 11 Jun 21Turkey 0-3 Italy