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England vs Argentina prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Semi-finalFull time

England

1-2

Wed, 15 Jul

Argentina

Model's readAtlanta
1 31%X 27%2 43%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

69.3%

xG

1.3 – 1.6

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
EnglandWWWLW
ArgentinaWWWLW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Away or Draw (X2) is the model's strongest read at 69%

The model's strongest selection is Away or Draw at 69%, against a 52% norm for this competition. That gap matters more than the raw figure. Expected goals are 1.30 for England and 1.57 for Argentina, so Argentina is favoured at 43% to win. This is a model estimate, not a guarantee.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

England v Argentina

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
England30.7%
Draw26.5%
Argentina42.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.9

England

Above average

7.0

Argentina

Strong

EnglandLast 10 gamesArgentina
2.40Points per game2.70
3.0Goals scored per game3.0
1.3Goals conceded per game0.8
80%Over 2.5 goals80%
60%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score10%

Recent results

EnglandWWWLW
  • 6 OctHCzech Republic3-0
  • 3 OctACroatia7-0
  • 29 SeptACzech Republic2-0
  • 26 SeptHSpain2-3
  • 18 JulAFrance6-4
  • 15 JulHArgentina1-2
ArgentinaWWWLW
  • 6 OctHBenin3-0
  • 4 OctHBurkina Faso7-0
  • 1 OctHBolivia4-0
  • 19 JulASpain0-1
  • 15 JulAEngland2-1
  • 11 JulHSwitzerland3-1

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

3

England

3

Draws

1

Argentina

  • 15 Jul 26England 1-2 Argentina
  • 12 Nov 05England 3-2 Argentina
  • 7 Jun 02Argentina 0-1 England
  • 23 Feb 00England 0-0 Argentina
  • 30 Jun 98Argentina 2-2 England
Every meeting between these two →