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Chile vs New Zealand prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Chile

1-0

Thu, 27 Apr

New Zealand

Model's readLa Calera
1 54%X 24%2 22%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

78.2%

xG

1.9 – 1.1

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
ChileWLLWL
New ZealandDWDLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Chile favoured at 54%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.89 goals for Chile and 1.13 for New Zealand, giving 54% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.89 - 1.13
  • Clean sheet chance: Chile 32%, New Zealand 15%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Chile v New Zealand

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Chile54.2%
Draw24.1%
New Zealand21.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.8

Chile

Above average

5.4

New Zealand

Average

ChileLast 10 gamesNew Zealand
1.80Points per game0.90
1.8Goals scored per game1.4
1.6Goals conceded per game2.1
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

ChileWLLWL
  • 7 OctAMexico2-0
  • 30 SeptAUSA2-4
  • 26 SeptACanada0-1
  • 9 JunADR Congo2-1
  • 6 JunAPortugal1-2
  • 30 MarANew Zealand1-4
New ZealandDWDLL
  • 1 OctAPanama1-1
  • 27 SeptAChina3-0
  • 24 SeptAPalestine2-2
  • 26 JunHBelgium1-5
  • 21 JunHEgypt1-3
  • 15 JunAIran2-2

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

2

Chile

1

Draws

1

New Zealand

  • 30 Mar 26New Zealand 4-1 Chile
  • 27 Apr 06Chile 1-0 New Zealand
  • 25 Apr 06Chile 4-1 New Zealand
  • 4 Feb 98New Zealand 0-0 Chile
Every meeting between these two →