Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
54%
Portugal are the model's pick at 62% to win, with Chile at 16% to take the win. Expected goals are 2.05 for Portugal and 0.95 for Chile, and over 2.5 goals sits at 58%. Portugal's attack meets a Chile defence ranked 142nd weakest, which drives the projection.
Portugal
Above average
Chile
Above average
1
Portugal
1
Draws
0
Chile