Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
60%
The model projects 1.35 goals for Qatar and 1.64 for Lebanon, giving 31% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Qatar
Average
Lebanon
Above average
4
Qatar
2
Draws
0
Lebanon