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Angola vs Mauritania prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Angola

4-1

Fri, 12 Oct

Mauritania

Model's readLuanda
1 49%X 28%2 23%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

78.3%

xG

1.5 – 0.9

Over 2.5

42%

Both score

47%

Form

Full stats →
AngolaWWDDD
MauritaniaWWDLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Angola favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.45 goals for Angola and 0.93 for Mauritania, giving 49% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.45 - 0.93
  • Clean sheet chance: Angola 40%, Mauritania 23%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Angola v Mauritania

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Angola48.5%
Draw28.1%
Mauritania23.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

Angola

Above average

5.7

Mauritania

Above average

AngolaLast 10 gamesMauritania
1.40Points per game1.30
1.4Goals scored per game0.7
1.1Goals conceded per game0.9
50%Over 2.5 goals20%
60%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets50%
30%Failed to score40%

Recent results

AngolaWWDDD
  • 6 OctHMalawi3-1
  • 9 JunHCentral African Republic3-0
  • 5 JunHMauritania1-1
  • 29 DecHEgypt0-0
  • 26 DecHZimbabwe1-1
  • 22 DecASouth Africa1-2
MauritaniaWWDLL
  • 8 JunANiger1-0
  • 8 JunHNiger1-0
  • 5 JunAAngola1-1
  • 27 MarAArgentina1-2
  • 15 NovALibya0-1
  • 12 NovATunisia1-1

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

2

Angola

2

Draws

1

Mauritania

  • 5 Jun 26Angola 1-1 Mauritania
  • 20 Jan 24Mauritania 2-3 Angola
  • 29 Jun 19Mauritania 0-0 Angola
  • 16 Oct 18Mauritania 1-0 Angola
  • 12 Oct 18Angola 4-1 Mauritania
Every meeting between these two →