Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.7
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
44%
The model favours Argentina to win at 75%, well above the 48% norm for this competition, which makes it the strongest read here. Expected goals are 2.34 for Argentina and 0.66 for Mauritania. Treat this as a probability, not a guarantee.
Argentina
Strong
Mauritania
Above average
1
Argentina
0
Draws
0
Mauritania