Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
58%
The model projects 2.48 goals for Nigeria and 0.99 for Gabon, giving 69% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Nigeria
Above average
Gabon
Average
4
Nigeria
1
Draws
0
Gabon