Gabon vs Mozambique prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.9%
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
GabonDLLLL
MozambiqueLLLLWMatch analysis
EnhancedOver 1.5 goals is the model's strongest read
Over 1.5 Goals comes out at 76%, against a 70% norm in this competition, which is the clearest gap the model finds. Gabon are slight favourites at 41% to win, with Mozambique at 32% and a draw at 27%. Expected goals of 1.46 and 1.24 back up the call, though no single pick is guaranteed.
Match result
1X2Gabon41.4%
Draw27.1%
Mozambique31.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Gabon
Average
4.9
Mozambique
Average
GabonLast 10 gamesMozambique1.10Points per game0.80
1.8Goals scored per game1.0
1.9Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 7 meetings3
Gabon
1
Draws
3
Mozambique
- 28 Dec 25Gabon 2-3 Mozambique
- 14 Nov 15Gabon 1-0 Mozambique
- 11 Nov 15Mozambique 1-0 Gabon
- 6 Jan 10Gabon 2-0 Mozambique
- 11 Jan 96Mozambique 1-0 Gabon