Ivory Coast vs Mozambique prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 1Full time
Ivory Coast
1-0
Mozambique
Model's readMarrakesh
1 59%X 26%2 16%
Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
78.0%
xG
1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
Ivory CoastLLWLW
MozambiqueLLLLWMatch analysis
EnhancedIvory Coast favoured at 59%; Mozambique face a tough test
The model makes Ivory Coast the favourites, with a 59% chance of a win, 26% for a draw and 16% for Mozambique. Expected goals are 1.66 for Ivory Coast and 0.74 for Mozambique, and the gap is widest where Mozambique's attack meets Ivory Coast's fourth-best defence. Over 2.5 goals sits at 43%, so a low-scoring game is slightly more likely than not.
Match result
1X2Ivory Coast58.8%
Draw25.5%
Mozambique15.7%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
Ivory Coast
Above average
4.9
Mozambique
Average
Ivory CoastLast 10 gamesMozambique2.10Points per game0.80
1.5Goals scored per game1.0
0.6Goals conceded per game1.9
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
30%Both teams scored50%
60%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 7 meetings5
Ivory Coast
2
Draws
0
Mozambique
- 24 Dec 25Ivory Coast 1-0 Mozambique
- 13 Nov 21Ivory Coast 3-0 Mozambique
- 3 Sept 21Mozambique 0-0 Ivory Coast
- 7 Sept 08Mozambique 1-1 Ivory Coast
- 1 Jun 08Ivory Coast 1-0 Mozambique