Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
51%
The model projects 2.61 goals for Sri Lanka and 0.78 for Maldives, giving 76% for the home win, 16% for the draw and 8% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Sri Lanka
Above average
Maldives
Average
1
Sri Lanka
7
Draws
1
Maldives