Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
51%
The model makes Sri Lanka clear favourites, with a 76% home win against a 48% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.61 for Sri Lanka and 0.78 for Maldives, and over 2.5 goals sits at 66%. A win is the model's strongest read, though no result is guaranteed.
Sri Lanka
Above average
Maldives
Average
1
Sri Lanka
7
Draws
1
Maldives